Manufacturing Fuel Mix: Which Denominator Supports a Sector Comparison?

“A sector comparison starts with a denominator that another reviewer can reconstruct.”
| Record | Supported boundary |
|---|---|
| Accounting terminology | MECS terminology: first use excludes energy transformed from other energy inputs; intensity relates energy to an activity measure. |
| Table-selection catalogue | MECS data catalogue: distinct first-use, nonfuel and fuel families, with physical-unit and trillion-Btu presentations. |
| Establishment counts | Table 4.4: counts of establishments by offsite-produced fuel consumption. |
| Collection coverage | Census overview: manufacturing establishments and activity during the survey calendar year. |
These records establish statistical meaning and applicability. They do not verify a supplier’s present fuel mix, operating route, switching capability or energy cost.
Does a sector ranking survive a change of denominator?
In EIA’s 2022 survey only one of the 21 subsectors, primary metals, holds the same rank on all five measures, and even first place changes with the denominator, going to chemicals on total first use and total fuel consumption, petroleum and coal products on fuel per employee and fuel per dollar of value added, and paper on fuel per dollar of shipments.
Zinit Research · EIA data, 2022 survey
Between total first use and fuel per dollar of shipments, transportation equipment falls from 10th to 19th and textile mills rises from 15th to 7th
Rank of each manufacturing subsector (NAICS) on five measures from EIA’s 2022 survey: total first use of energy for all purposes, total fuel consumption, and fuel consumed per employee, per dollar of value added and per dollar of value of shipments. 1 is the largest; equal published values share a rank. Rows follow the first-use ranking, and the darker the square, the higher the rank.
| Subsector | Total energy | Fuel consumed per | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First use | Fuel | Employee | $ of value added | $ of shipments | |
| Chemicals | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Petroleum and coal products | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Paper | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Primary metals | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Food | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| Nonmetallic mineral products | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Fabricated metal products | 7 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| Wood products | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Plastics and rubber products | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Transportation equipment | 10 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 19 |
| Beverage and tobacco products | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| Computer and electronic products | 12 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 21 |
| Machinery | 13 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| Electrical equipment, appliances, and components | 14 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 |
| Miscellaneous | 15 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| Textile mills | 15 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| Printing and related support | 17 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
| Furniture and related products | 18 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| Textile product mills | 19 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 12 |
| Apparel | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| Leather and allied products | 20 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
Does the order of two suppliers’ subsectors hold on every denominator?
- Measure
- A
- B
- Total first use of energy trillion Btu
- 7,459
- 2,003
- Total fuel consumption trillion Btu
- 3,976
- 2,003
- Fuel per employee million Btu
- 5,199.0
- 5,374.3
- Fuel per dollar of value added thousand Btu
- 8.1
- 20.6
- Fuel per dollar of shipments thousand Btu
- 4.5
- 9.0
The larger value in each row is in bold.
Chemicals ranks above paper on total first use and total fuel consumption; paper ranks above chemicals on fuel per employee, fuel per dollar of value added, and fuel per dollar of shipments. Starting from the order on total first use, it reverses on 3 of the other 4 measures, so a comparison between these two subsectors has to name its denominator, unit and year before the order can be read.
EIA computes the three ratios as fuel consumption (Table 3.2) ÷ employees, value added or value of shipments (2022 Economic Census). First use adds nonfuel (feedstock) use and leaves out energy made onsite from other energy, so it can sit above or below fuel consumption.
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2022 Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, Table 1.2 (first use), Table 3.2 (fuel consumption) and Table 6.1 (consumption ratios of fuel), released March 2026. EIA marks the first-use total for petroleum and coal products as revised in that release. Chart: Zinit Research. Data and method
Which question should the fuel comparison answer?
Start with a sentence describing the decision. “How is reported fuel consumption distributed across energy sources?” asks for an energy share. “How much energy enters the sector for all purposes?” asks for an accounting total. “How much energy is associated with a given amount of activity?” asks for intensity. A category team should keep these questions separate even when the columns arrive in the same presentation. This is a proposed comparison workflow, not a finding about any sector’s performance.
Write the numerator and denominator in words before extracting values. Name the sector, geography, observation period and energy measure on both sides. A share within a sector and a sector’s contribution to a national total also answer different questions: the first uses that sector’s total, while the second uses the wider total. Require the analyst to identify which calculation is intended. Keep the original table reference beside the calculation so the choice can be reconstructed.
How do first use and fuel-only accounting differ?
EIA’s accounting definitions include both fuel and nonfuel inputs in first-use coverage and exclude energy produced by transforming other energy inputs to avoid counting it twice. Its fuel-input measure covers combustible energy used for heat, power or electricity generation, including qualifying onsite sources. Nonfuel use means an energy commodity used as a material input. Net electricity has its own nonduplicative boundary. A first-use total and a fuel-input total therefore should not be treated as interchangeable names for one denominator.
For the authored review workflow, retain a field for the purpose of each reported input. If a buyer cannot tell whether an entry concerns combustion, feedstock or an energy transformation, leave its classification unresolved. Ask the responsible plant or energy specialist to confirm the accounting treatment. Do not add a transformed output to its input merely to create a larger “total.” Public table labels can guide that question; they cannot classify a private plant record that has not been supplied.
Fuel consumption equals first use except where energy goes into the product or comes back out of it
Fuel consumption was within 1% of first use in 14 of the 21 subsectors in 2022, so for a supplier in most subsectors the two totals agree. In chemicals fuel was 53.3% of first use, because 4,474 trillion Btu of its energy was used as feedstock or raw material, so natural gas reads as 44.5% of its first use and 65.0% of its fuel, and hydrocarbon gas liquids as 41.3% and 0.4%. Primary metals runs the other way, with fuel at 106.2% of first use, because fuel consumption also counts energy recovered from other inputs, such as blast furnace gas, which EIA’s note to Table 3.2 says leads to some double counting, while first use leaves that energy out.
Fuel consumption as a percent of first use of energy, by subsector, 2022
Source: EIA MECS 2022, Table 3.2 (fuel consumption, with its note on double counting), Table 1.2 (first use) and Table 2.2 (nonfuel use), trillion Btu, released March 2026. Computed by Zinit Research from the published totals, which EIA rounds to the trillion Btu, so small subsectors move in coarse steps. Chart: Zinit Research. Data and method
Which table family and unit belong in the register?
The official catalogue separates first-use consumption, nonfuel use and fuel consumption. It also offers physical-unit tables and tables expressed in trillion Btu. Select the relevant family first, then its presentation. For an energy-share comparison, retain a common energy basis and the documented conversion method where conversion is necessary. Preserve original units beside converted fields. A table containing different physical units is not permission to add unlike quantities or divide one by an unrelated total.
Table 4.4 identifies its unit as establishment counts. Those counts answer a question about establishments associated with offsite-produced fuel consumption. They do not provide the volume of each fuel. An analyst could mistake a large count for a large energy share if the unit is removed during extraction. Keep the table’s unit in the working record and hold an energy-share calculation when the only supplied evidence is a count. Do not turn disclosure symbols into assumed values.
Use a small extraction log for each candidate comparison: source file, row label, column label, stated unit and any table-specific note. Keep a copy of the original alongside the extracted field. If a revised table later replaces it, retain the earlier version and record why the calculation changed. This log is a proposed audit aid. Its purpose is to expose a wrong table choice before the resulting chart or comparison enters a sourcing discussion.
A count of establishments is not a share of energy
Hydrocarbon gas liquids were used by 26.9% of the 185,081 manufacturing establishments in Table 4.4 in 2022, yet they supplied 0.7% of the offsite-produced fuel that manufacturers consumed (Table 4.2). Coke and breeze went the other way, used by 0.1% of establishments and supplying 2.0% of the energy. The fuel columns of Table 4.4 add up to 2.0 times the number of establishments, because one establishment can use several fuels, so dividing a count column by its total never yields an energy share.
Share of establishments using each offsite-produced fuel, and that fuel’s share of offsite-produced fuel consumption, all manufacturing, 2022
Source: EIA MECS 2022, Table 4.4 (establishment counts, released December 2025) and Table 4.2 (offsite-produced fuel consumption, trillion Btu, released March 2026). Other energy is left out because the two tables define it differently; hydrogen appears only in Table 4.2. Chart: Zinit Research. Data and method
Why does intensity need another denominator?
EIA defines energy intensity as energy consumption relative to a measure of demand or activity. Its living glossary gives examples of such measures rather than one universal manufacturing formula. A percentage describing fuel composition therefore does not establish energy intensity. Before comparing intensity, identify the particular activity measure used by the selected source and match its definition, period and units. Do not label a difference in fuel composition as an efficiency improvement.
For an authored review scenario, imagine two sector summaries arriving together. One shows a fuel share and the other reports energy per unit of activity. Leave them in separate comparison groups until the analyst can obtain the underlying measures on a shared basis. Relabeling both “energy exposure” does not resolve their denominator difference. Record what each summary can answer and which requested comparison remains unavailable. No numerical illustration or sector ranking is implied by this scenario.
Which population and vintage does the evidence describe?
The Census coverage and methods overview describes manufacturing establishments in the United States and a sample drawn from the manufacturing frame. Reported activity relates to the survey calendar year. Keep that statistical population separate from a supplier group, a corporate account or a particular facility. A sector summary can inform the questions put to suppliers, but it does not verify the selected supplier’s operating circumstances or authorize substituting national estimates for missing site records.
The MECS release schedule lists separate releases for consumption, expenditure, count and hand-suppressed tables. The observations retain their stated survey year. Preserve the observation year, table release date and date accessed as separate fields. A table released later is not a new measurement of current plant conditions. This article makes no time comparison; a proposed trend would need its own review of definitions, sample coverage, methods and units before it could be admitted.
What should a category team treat as a finished comparison?
What belongs in the denominator register?
| Field | Evidence to retain | Review question | Disposition if unresolved |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decision and comparison group | Written question; sector and geography | Share, total or intensity? | Hold the measure selection |
| Energy boundary | Named definition and table family | Fuel, nonfuel and transformation treatment matched? | Mark the comparison incompatible |
| Numerator | Original row and source columns | Does it belong to the chosen denominator? | Do not calculate the share |
| Denominator | Named total or activity measure | Same universe, period and accounting basis? | Request an aligned measure |
| Unit and conversion | Original units; method and reviewer | Common energy unit or matched activity unit? | Retain unlike fields separately |
| Population and vintage | Coverage, observation year, release and access dates | Are both records applicable to the same question? | Explain the scope mismatch |
| Disclosure and missing inputs | Table notes; missing or suppressed fields | Is the comparison supported without imputation? | Keep an open exception |
| Accountable acceptance | Named analyst; decision and exception record | Has the chosen basis been confirmed? | Leave the affected comparison on hold |
Authored evidence-review aid, not an official MECS form, validated estimator, supplier score or approval to buy. Incompatible means the requested comparison is not supported on the supplied basis; it is not a verdict on a sector or supplier.
Give each open exception a record owner and a concrete evidence request. A missing definition needs the selected source’s method; an unclear plant input needs the plant record owner; an unsuitable activity denominator needs a revised statistical comparison. Require the analyst to state whether new evidence resolves the specific mismatch. Completing every cell is insufficient if the inputs still cover unlike scopes. Preserve the reason for either acceptance or a continued hold.
Keep the handoff to procurement narrow. The register supports a statistical comparison method. A buying decision still needs the relevant site records, operating commitments and commercial terms, with their own accountable review. It does not establish that a supplier can switch fuels, that a route is operational, that a surcharge is justified or that emissions have been verified. Ask for those records directly when the sourcing decision depends on them.
Use the supplier-risk assessment guide for the wider evidence and risk process. Carry continuing ownership and open requests into the supplier-relationship management workflow. Other evidence methods are available in the Journal. These are subsequent process references; none supplies a missing energy denominator or converts the register into a supplier assessment.
Where does this data come from?
- What the numbers are
- First use of energy for all purposes (Table 1.2), nonfuel use (Table 2.2) and fuel consumption (Table 3.2) in trillion Btu by energy source, and the ratios of fuel consumption to employment, value added and value of shipments (Table 6.1), for the 21 manufacturing subsectors in EIA’s 2022 Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, with the count of establishments using each offsite-produced fuel (Table 4.4) and the quantity consumed (Table 4.2). First use is the consumption of energy originally produced offsite or produced onsite from inputs not classified as energy; it excludes energy produced from other energy inputs, which avoids double counting (EIA, note to Table 1.2). EIA calculated the Table 6.1 ratios from the fuel consumption estimates in Table 3.2; employment, value added and shipments come from the 2022 Economic Census (EIA, note to Table 6.1). Ranks are computed by Zinit Research, 1 for the largest value, with equal published values sharing a rank. The figures describe the 2022 survey year at subsector level and never a named plant. EIA withholds some cells (Q: relative standard error above 50%; D: to avoid disclosing an establishment) and marks estimates under 0.5 with *; withheld cells are blank here.
- Source files
- MECS 2022 Table 1.2, First use of energy for all purposes (fuel and nonfuel), U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 e20fc1d03bd3…
- MECS 2022 Table 1.2 (PDF edition, with notes and footnotes), U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 87912e3284c8…
- MECS 2022 Table 2.2, Nonfuel (feedstock) use of combustible energy, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 f6db90611a93…
- MECS 2022 Table 3.2, Fuel consumption, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 bf0682d6ffb8…
- MECS 2022 Table 3.2 (PDF edition, with notes), U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 467a3da390c0…
- MECS 2022 Table 6.1, Consumption ratios of fuel, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 e6bb4301fd02…
- MECS 2022 Table 6.1 (PDF edition, with notes), U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 d284f4a5f9ff…
- MECS 2022 Table 4.4, Number of establishments by offsite-produced fuel consumption, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 4ff7ce0a9e9b…
- MECS 2022 Table 4.4 (PDF edition, as the article cites it), U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 26b69310eeab…
- MECS 2022 Table 4.2, Offsite-produced fuel consumption, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 bfc7bae0b554…
- MECS 2022 Table 4.2 (PDF edition, with footnotes), U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Direct download. SHA-256 3093dffdc24a…
- MECS Terminology, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Page as served on 2026-10-22. SHA-256 7e03b0749d15…
- 2022 MECS Survey Data, catalogue and release schedule, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Retrieved October 22, 2026. Page as served on 2026-10-22. SHA-256 34ffb38025e5…
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Zinit Research. “Manufacturing Fuel Mix: Which Denominator Supports a Sector Comparison?” Data: U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2022 Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, Tables 1.2, 2.2, 3.2, 6.1, 4.4 and 4.2. https://zinit.com/journal/research/manufacturing-fuel-mix-denominators, data retrieved October 22, 2026.
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Sources
- MECS Terminology (undated living reference; accessed 2026) — U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2026. Foundational evidence (official report): Citations in b1, b4, b9, b16
- 2022 MECS Survey Data — U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2026. Contextual evidence (official report): Citations in b4, b12, b20
- Table 4.4 Number of establishments by offsite-produced fuel consumption, 2022 — U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2025. Historical evidence (official report): Citations in b4, b13
- About Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey — U.S. Census Bureau, 2026. Contextual evidence (official report): Citations in b4, b19